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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 9 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Tottenham win: 45.3%

Draw: 23.4%

Crystal Palace win: 31.3%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 53.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 60.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.31

More corners: Tottenham (64.4% home / 35.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Crystal Palace

Yes

Probability Crystal Palace wins or draws: 57.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Tottenham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (45% vs next-best 31%). (45.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (61.0% model probability) High

Corners Tottenham (more corners) (64.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Crystal Palace win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (58.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.